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Getafe vs Real Madrid prediction, odds, expert football betting tips and best bets for La Liga match | Sporting News


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Real Madrid continue their push for the La Liga title as they visit 10th place Getafe in the Spanish top flight.

Los Blancos control their own destiny in the race for the top spot as it stands, a point back of leaders Girona but with a game in hand. Yet with so long still to go, they will know there’s little room for error as any slip risks losing the ability to remain in command of the process.

It’s just a two-horse race at the moment, as third-placed Atletico Madrid sit seven points adrift, but Real Madrid are well aware that anything less than the crown would be a failure, especially losing out to a surprise challenger like Girona.

Getafe will consider themselves still in the mix for European places if they can make a run, but having sat eighth in the table at the start of January, the Azulones dipped a bit with just one win in three January league matches.

USA: Click here to see the latest odds for Getafe vs Real Madrid and bet La Liga matches

Getafe vs Real Madrid prediction, odds

  • Moneyline lean: Real Madrid (-200)
  • Score prediction: Getafe 1-2 Real Madrid

While they’ve been forced to grind out more nervy matches than anticipated in recent weeks, Real Madrid remain in command of the La Liga standings, and their clutch performances at the end of games indicate they are still likely to pull out three points even in matches where they fail to bring their best.

Following a 1-1 draw with Real Betis in early December, Madrid have held all five league opponents to chances worth under 1.0 xG, with two clean sheets in that span. Getafe have a horrible scoring record against Real Madrid, with just two goals in their last 11 meetings, but one came in their most recent matchup in early September, and they have scored above their xG output in four of their last five in the league, indicating they can take their chances if given any opportunities as the Azulones look to keep it close.

Getafe win +500
Draw +310
Real Madrid win -200
Both teams
to score Y/N
-105 / -120
Over / Under
2.5 goals
-115 / -120
Real Madrid
-0.5 goals
+0.5 goals

Getafe vs Real Madrid match facts

  • Date: Thursday, Feb. 1, 2024
  • Kickoff Time: 9 p.m. local (3 p.m. ET / 12 p.m. PT)
  • Location: Alfonso Perez Coliseum (Getafe, Spain)
  • Referee: Ricardo de Burgos Bengoechea, VAR: Santiago Jaime Latre
  • Last meeting: Real Madrid 2-1 Getafe (Sep. 2, 2023 | La Liga)

Getafe vs Real Madrid: best bet

  • Pick: Highest scoring half — 2H
  • Odds: +100 (DraftKings)

Real Madrid have made life difficult for themselves of late, needing second-half comebacks to secure victories over Almeria and Las Palmas in their last two games, plus their inability to establish a lead in the Copa del Rey defeat to Atletico Madrid.

Over their last three matches, Real Madrid have compiled 2.42 expected goals on 17 shots in the first half without a single return. While that’s a notable differential, it’s also not quite the output a title challenger would expect as they look to put themselves ahead before the break.

Real Madrid have bagged 69 percent of their goals this year after halftime, with the most goals from minutes 46-75 of any team in La Liga. Between these two clubs, each of the last four goals across their last two meetings have been scored after halftime.

Getafe vs Real Madrid prop bet

  • Pick: Real Madrid win by one goal
  • Odds: +200 (FanDuel)

While it’s foolish to bet on Real Madrid to drop results given how clutch they’ve been at the end of matches, between both Real Madrid’s recent form and Getafe’s latest efforts against Los Blancos, there’s real reason to believe the close shaves will continue.

Each of Real Madrid’s last four league games have been one-goal victories, and while they should have had more against both Las Palmas and Almeria in the last two, their expected goals haul from the two prior against Mallorca and Alaves indicated they were just about worth those close wins up front.

Furthermore, Getafe have played to one-goal defeats in each of their last three games against Madrid, and four of the last five. They are well positioned to keep this one close as well, especially at home.

Getafe vs Real Madrid live stream, TV channel

  TV channel Streaming
USA ESPN Deportes Fubo USA, ESPN+, WatchESPN
Canada  — TSN+
UK Viaplay Sports 1 LaLigaTV

The U.S. broadcast rights to the Spanish top flight are owned by ESPN, who put every match on their streaming service ESPN+ with both English and Spanish broadcasts available.

Additionally, this match was selected for a Spanish-language television broadcast on ESPN Deportes, which is available to stream on Fubo in the United States.

In Canada, this match, as is the case with every game across the entire La Liga season, is available to stream exclusively on TSN+.

UK fans can watch the match between Getafe and Real Madrid on Viaplay Sports 1, with streaming available on LaLigaTV.

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