HomeNFLSuper Bowl predictions, picks: Three player prop picks for the Big Game

Super Bowl predictions, picks: Three player prop picks for the Big Game


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The final NFL player prop picks of the season take center stage Sunday at Super Bowl 2024 bets between the 49ers vs. Chiefs.

Super Bowl props are among the most famous bets available to us, and this year is no different.

This is to say, target the newer markets whenever possible, as there could be inefficiencies.

We have had a strong season in the prop market, going 78-99, profiting 35.07 units with a return on investment of 19.81%.

Super Bowl player props and picks

Christian McCaffrey 30+ rushing yards in each half (+130, DraftKings)

Don’t expect Christian McCaffrey to be on the sidelines much Sunday; he’s arguably the key to victory for the 49ers.

The Chiefs were 25th in yards per carry allowed, so there should be a heavy run focus for San Francisco.

McCaffrey averages 4.91 yards per carry in the second half and averages 5.7 in the first half of games this season.

Using these stats, McCaffrey would need six first-half carries and seven second-half carries in order to jump over this number.

McCaffrey is projected to grab 18.5 carries across the sports betting realm, so 8.5 carries in each half would be the theoretical projection there.

This is a good bet regardless of who gets ball first.

Deebo Samuel is a big play threat any time he gets the ball. Getty Images

Deebo Samuel 50+ rushing yards (12/1, DraftKings) | rushing + receiving yards 150+ (11/1, Bet365)

Run, run, run. The 49ers should be running left and right here and if it isn’t the McCaffrey show, it’s the big play Deebo Samuel escapade.

Samuel is liable to break one at any time, particularly against an aggressive Chiefs defense.

Ready to start your Super Bowl 2024 betting?

NFL.com believes that the Chiefs are susceptible to getting beaten on third down.

“They were able to get pressure on opposing QBs at the fourth-highest rate (49.4%) with the second-highest sack rate (16.3%).”

But what happens when the sacks dry up? The gadget play — with Samuel the most likely recipient — could be the undoing for Kansas City.

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